Here comes the rain. It looks like today could be a washout for some if model data is accurate. Rain has already started from Indianapolis to the south. A pesky cut-off low is not drifting north and is located over Northeast Arkansas. The projected track of this low has once again changed and that means with the new track meaning more rain
likely for this area today.
New model numbers shows Indianapolis could see about a half inch of rain. Bloomington, Columbus, and Terre Haute could all see upwards of an inch of rain. For Indianapolis this number is more than double what it looked like yesterday and about that for the other communities. This number will be added on to the nearly half inch of rain Bloomington and Terre Haute have already seen from Saturday through 5am on Sunday.
There’s been volatility in the forecast for the past couple of days due to the projected track of the already mentioned cut-off low. From
Wednesday through yesterday each model run continued to push the atmospheric spin farther and farther south. It was a track the low seemed to be following up until last night when it began to move to drift north. This motion continues this morning with the low potentially being centered over southeast Missouri later on this morning. The low is now projected to rotate into Northern Tennessee and Southern Kentucky today and tomorrow. This new more northern track means a much better chance for rain for everyone living in Indianapolis and down south. The forecast for rain is location dependent with places north of the city having only a scattered chance for rain.
Rain chances continue on Monday with a smaller chance for rain. Tuesday will be mostly dry with a convective shower possible in the afternoon as we remain warm. Wednesday will be dry with a return of rain on Thursday evening. Friday and Saturday both could be wash outs with a mid-level low sliding through. At this point it doesn’t look like severe weather will be possible as that low slides by.