The latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center this afternoon brings back in a small section of our viewing area in the “slight risk” zone for the rest of the day. This now includes our very northeastern counties.
Storms should start developing in an isolated nature early this afternoon as the cold front approaches Central Indiana. Overall, the bulk of our viewing area won’t see widespread showers and thunderstorms but more spotty activity as this cold front moves through. But to the northeast, there is a little bit more energy to tap into and thus the possibility of severe storms. Right now, the main concern with these storms would be damaging wind gusts within longer lines of storms. Also, there is the threat for large hail if any storms begin to rotate.
As for rainfall amounts, the overall amount of rain out of this system doesn’t look too impressive. If you end up seeing some of the spotty showers, rainfall amounts should end up under .25″ of precipitation. But if you end up under a thunderstorm, a quick inch of rain or more isn’t out of the question. We are in a very moisture rich state today and all it takes is a decent thunderstorm to drop some heavy rainfall totals. Precipitable water values are actually sitting at 1.7″ over Central Indiana. Normally, this doesn’t equal what we see on the ground but it does show that we have plenty of moisture to work with today, it’s all dependent on where the storms and showers form.
For our viewing area, we still need to watch the radar this afternoon and we’ll be tracking the latest starting on First @ 4.