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Small rain chance and real heat arrives again next week

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SMALL RAIN CHANCE

A weak front will pass the city after 4 AM on Sunday bringing only a small chance of a few showers with it.  The rainfall will be light and will likely drift out of the area after 9 AM on Sunday.  Rain has been very hard to come by over the past month.  The 29 day period from August 10 through September the 7th 2013 rank driest ever on record for the period.

Dry Conditions

Record Dry Conditions

Rainfall estimates remain very small through next 2.5 weeks.  The approach and passing of a cold front next Thursday will offer up the next best “chance” of rain but estimates off 4 machines are not good.  The average is only .31″ and it is even worse out 16 days.  The estimated rainfall through September 23rd is only a total of .89″, that 50% the normal.

Rainfall_Comparison

Rainfall Forecast

NEAR RECORD HEAT RETURNS

A strong southwest flow returns Monday and temperatures are once again forests to climb.  Area thermometers are likely to reach the low to middle 90s again and push near record territory Tuesday and Wednesday.  Current temperature forecasts are 92° Monday, 95° Tuesday (ties record) and 93° Wednesday (record 95°).  Each day will feature a heat index near 100°

Jet Stream

Late Season Hot Dome

RELIEF FROM THE HEAT

We are timing a front to sweep the state Thursday into Friday and bring real relief from the heat.  Temperatures could settle into the 40s by early Friday or Saturday morning next week.