We have not had a 1″ plus snowfall here in nearly 4 weeks, holding at 55.4″ for the season, 3rd all-time. We trail #1 1981-82 (58.3″) and #2 1977-78 (57.9″).
SATURDAY RAIN TO SNOW – A RUN AT THE RECORD
Snow on the way for Saturday starting in city as rain initially with switch to wet snow by 9 AM. Rain will arrive in city around 3 AM and transition to/mix of heavy wet snow with accumulation possible.
The first image is the forecast radar off the RAP model. The second image from the RPM model showing switch to wet snow around 9-10 AM. A suite of computer estimated snowfall forecasts and techniques places 1″ to 2″ of wet snow in the city before ending after noon.
Further east – consensus on higher amounts of 2″ to 4″ possible for eastern IN into Ohio. I’m posting the NWS super ensemble probability of 2″ snow (40%), and our FOX59 projected snowfall. Good News: sun is back and we jump into the 50s Sunday. Any snow that accumulates will be short-lived.
SUNNY SUNDAY – WARMER TOO
The nice thing about late March snow – it does not last long and Sunday spring will make a rally. Sunny skies and milder temperatures will return – making this the warmest Sunday of 2014. A new storms system will push a warm front through the state late day. Windy – and even warmer middle 60s push into the state to start the work week.
WET PATTERN – PLENTY OF APRIL SHOWERS
There are several storm systems lining up over the next 2.5 weeks per the overnight computer runs. Two longer range models have churned out over 1.50” of rain over the next 7 days and the U.S. Model GFS out to 16 days cranks out a whopping 4.02”.
While “milder” air will appear briefly as each storm system approaches – warmer air is still not ready to take hold for any extended stretch through the first two weeks of April. The medium ranger outlook for temperatures out the next 8-14 days still shows colder than normal air for much of the eastern U.S.