Temperatures warm up, rain chance remains

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Meteogram Heat Index

Heat is only part of the story, rain chances stick around as well through the weekend

We are expecting weather to turn warmer but wetter over the next five days.  Model data is getting what we hope is a better handle on weekend rain chances.  On Monday, we were showing a chance for rain on Sunday night.  Further model runs slowed the progression of a powerful late season front to Monday, pushing our rain chances to Monday as well.  That isn’t the case anymore with data showing scattered rain possible as early as Saturday from a very wet system that will impact the area for a couple of days.

Wednesday will be nice and should be dry with plenty of sun around.  It basically will be a carbon copy of what we saw yesterday before about 3 p.m. Tuesday’s high was in the mid to upper 50s.  Wednesday, I think, will be just shy of 60°.

Thursday should be dry for most of the day and significantly warmer as warm air filters in from the southwest.  The warmer air should arrive later on Wednesday night with the arrival of a warm front.  Thursday highs are forecast to top 70°.  If Indianapolis hits 70, it would be the first time this year that we have hit the mark.  The last time we hit 70 was last Oct. 13.  We will also have a chance of hitting 70 on Saturday and Sunday.

The pattern turns soggy as we head into the weekend.  The weekend will not be a washout, but there will be a chance for at least some rain on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.  We are looking at what could potentially be a big rain event arriving late Sunday into Monday with the GFS forecasting three inches of rain falling in a period of 48 hours.  The Euro is forecasting a lot less in the way of rain for Sunday and Monday.  This time period also is showing the potential for large hail along the powerful front.  Severe weather cannot be ruled out.  Enjoy your day and the warmer temperatures!