Your Easter weekend should be mostly rain free. There is a small chance for an isolated shower or two. Saturday and Easter Sunday will be dry and warmer before we see another brief dip in high temperatures early next week.
For Friday, expect to see high clouds filtering out direct sunlight and the chance for a shower or two as a weak and falling apart cold front makes its way into and through the state. If you see any rain today it won’t be much. The cold front will give way to a warm front overnight tonight with 850 temps (core) going from 4C today to an average of around 10C by Sunday. This increase in our 850 temps along with warm air out of the south should be enough to propel us to back to back 70-degree days on Sunday and Monday. I think Saturday will see a high in the mid-60s.
Easter Sunday is looking especially nice with highs in the low 70s. If you are planning on going out and celebrating an outdoor sunrise service (Sunday sunrise is at 7 a.m. exactly), the weather should be comfortable with morning lows dipping into the mid-40s. Temperatures should warm quickly with a fairly dry airmass in place and a ridge of high pressure being the dominant feature. You won’t have any problem seeing the sun as skies should remain clear.
Rain chances will also go up on Monday with rain showers possible along and ahead of another weak cold front. The front will slide through overnight Monday into Tuesday morning. Most will likely be in bed as the rain showers and perhaps an isolated storm slide through the state. Early numbers are hinting at around a half inch of rain falling, but every new model run seems to be weakening the system. At this point it does seem like the front will be enough to at least cool us down with the European model taking 850mb temps from 10C down to -3C from Monday through Wednesday! We are forecasting highs on Tuesday and Wednesday in the 50s. Just a quick note: there is other data pointing to temperatures not cooling down nearly as much. The average high for this time of the year is mid-60s.