Mother’s Day won’t be a wash-out, but severe weather will be possible

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Severe_Weather_Outlook

Slight risk for severe weather includes chance for large hail and gusty winds

I’d like to wish a happy Mother’s Day to all the mothers out there today.  I wish I could give the gift of perfect weather today but there will be some rain around.  The weather will be warmer, however, with highs hitting the 80s!  Today will be the warmest Mother’s Day since 1995!  We’ve also been added to the risk map for today with the Storm Prediction Center accessing our risk as slight.

Overall the active weather pattern continues with us getting little help in forecasting from model data.  The set-up is complex with a cut off low with strong upper level

Event Forecast

Mother’s Day will not be a wash-out

winds wrapping around it to our west.  The arctic jet is draped over northern parts of the state and warmer air is now pushing in from the south.  Instability will be on the rise and a couple of hail producing thunderstorms could develop.  This type of a forecast is much more difficult to predict than a wind event and there is a high chance that you will see barely a drop of rain.

Overall the day will not be a rain out but if you do have outdoor plans you may want to make sure you stay up to date when it comes to the weather.  This type of set-up means rapidly changing conditions will be possible.  This super cell storms are often times not surrounded by any rain and give little warning before they strike.