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Severe storms to erupt west tonight, threat here rises

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HUMIDITY EASES

Steamy in spots especially from I-70 south as a front creeps south.  A few scattered storms have developed in the heating of the afternoon but these to remain scattered and below severe limits.  These storms will fade out after sunset.

Nice relief from the humidity!  The dew point is most uncomfortable from 60° on up.  It has lowered sharply from the city north Tuesday afternoon.  Nice break for now.

ADI Temps

Dew point temperature at 5 PM. 60° or less = comfort

24_hr_temp_change

Sharp drop in humidity Tuesday afternoon from north to south

 

SEVERE STORMS TO ERUPT WEST

Attention turns to our west as storm cluster(s) develop this evening and roll along a stalled front. These storms have real potential to turn violent out west and pushes into the state toward sunrise. Could be the first of 2 storm clusters that bring severe potential to the state through Wednesday evening.

SPC (the Storm Prediction Center)  issues “high risk” severe weather outlook for parts of Nebraska, Iowa and Missouri for tonight.  Storms there to explode next few hours with tornado watches hoisted.

high risK

3rd ‘High Risk’ forecast issued this year.

 

SEVERE THREAT TARGETS INDIANA

A second storm cluster will be dependent on the extinguished first in the early AM hours. Should the first dissolve fast enough new storm growth is possible – this bears close watch. Should 2nd wave form real threat of widespread severe storms jumps. Main threat widespread damaging winds, but along a warm front there could be a higher risk of tornadoes.

Below the  forecast radar for early morning storm complex location at 4 AM. The day 2 severe weather outlook from the Storm Prediction Center and finally the potential of tornadoes off the SREF computer model.   Not good.   Should that 2nd cluster develop we may have our hands full.  Will know more later tonight Stay tuned and stay alert Wednesday.

HRRR 4 AM Weds

Forecast radar 4 AM Wednesday. Storm complex approaching

 

Severe Outlook 2

Severe weather outlook Day 2 Wednesday

 

SREF Tor ingriedients

SREF model tornado forecast Wednesday