Cool off is brief, one more warm surge then real fall chill arrives
TUESDAY COOL DOWN
Welcome back to September – we’ve cooled in the wake of an early AM front. Temperatures have dipped back to more seasonal levels and the 80 degree streak ends. But there is a large north to south spread in the afternoon temperatures. Still bear 80 downstate at 4pm.
A chilly night on the way with clearing skies and lows dipping back into the middle 40s well away from the city.
RAIN ON THE WAY
The dry spell reaches day 9 but rain is coming by Thursday afternoon. The average off several rainfall bearing computer models churns out .75″ of rain for #
October to open sunny and milder – with a new surge of warm air expected here on Thursday. The same front that passed Tuesday morning returns as a warm front late Wednesday night.
We make a new run at 80 degree temps Thursday area-wide before rain and thunder showers arrive.
All indications point to a real chilly pattern taking hold starting this weekend. Current thinking is that the cool spell will hold through the 12th of the month. Some warming would then occur.
Here is the latest 30 day outlook for October. Equal chance of below or above normal temps and better chances of above normal precipitation.
CHILLY CHANGE COMING
The late week front Friday will drive the coolest weather we’ve had here since mid May and bring on a real Fall chill.
Saturday afternoon may feel more like mid November in what appears to be a rather large-scale pattern change. More later tonight.