OCTOBER ON A ROLL
Our string of beautiful if at time picture-perfect days rolled on Tuesday with more sunshine and temperatures reaching the middle 70s. 9 days out of 11 this month have averaged above normal. Fall 2016 ranks 11th warmest to date with 73% of the days since September 1st above normal.
High temperatures reach the upper 70s on Wednesday before clouds and rain arrives. An approaching cold front will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms through the state by Wednesday evening. We could use some rainfall. With only .04" of rain for the month, we are running over 1" below normal October 2016 is the driest October in 5 years.
STORM CHANCES WEDNESDAY
Scattered showers and a few storms are possible early Wednesday evening. The rain coverage should increase later afternoon to just over 40% of the area. A few thunderstorms are possible with a 'marginal' risk of a severe storms just west of the state per the Storm Prediction Center.
Brace for another sharp temperature drop. October level chill will roar in on northwest winds late Wednesday into Thursday morning. Frost and Freeze advisories fly to the west behind the cold front late Tuesday night.
RECORD WARMTH POSSIBLE
While a cool off arrives to end the week it is only brief. Despite the cooler air we are expecting sunny weather Thursday and Friday while warming again into the 70s over the weekend.
Warmth is expected again and could surpass the 80° mark by early next week. Current projections off long range forecast models bring temperature well above 80° Monday and Tuesday and warm enough to challenge records for the dates.
A overall warmer than normal pattern is to persist over the next 7 to 10 days with signals of a stronger cool surge by the 21st of the month.