Rain easing and temperatures rising; New pattern looms as new month begins

SOGGY

Rain Monday became more steady and heavy at times for the evening commuters.  The northeast bound rains will ease and end sharply before midnight form southwest to northeast.  Rainfall totals could top 1" plus in may locations making this the largest single day rainfall in over 5 weeks.

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AUTUMN 2016 TO END WARM

The autumn storm is located well north, so central Indiana will reside in the warm sector of the storm overnight.  Temperatures are going to rise a few degrees later tonight making this the 66th day above normal this fall.  This autumn is is the warmest in 85 years, trailing fall 1931 by just less than two degrees.  Temperatures are projected well above normal Tuesday and Wednesday, the final days of meteorological fall and may reach the number one slot.  To date, 74% of the days have been 'above' normal.

fall-temperatures

NEW PATTERN?

You cannot sustain this above normal pattern, Mother Nature just won't allow it.  Summer and Fall have bee anomalously warmer than normal and one has to figure there will be a pull back.  Yes, we are on borrowed time and colder pattern will emerge.  When?  Well at this distance the new month could begin with a chill to more seasonal levels but more importantly, one overnight computer run is depicting a rather wintry scenario here to tend the weekend.  The long trusted EURO model shows a low pressure, storm system moving northeast through the Ohio Valley starting Sunday.  Rain to snow is the current forecast with possible accumulating snow ending early Monday.  Stay tuned!  We will monitor trend and much can and will change over the next several days.

EURO model weather forecast map next monday

EURO model weather forecast map next Monday

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