Warmest fall in 85 years rolls along; New month and a new pattern emerging

ANOTHER 60° DAY

For only the 11th time on record, November 29th has topped 60 degrees.  Tuesday reached our forecast high of 61° after 3 PM making this the 71st day of 60 degree warmth this autumn.  Fall 2016 now ties for the second most on record trailing only Autumn 1931 with 73 days.

adi-2-right-now-temps-sized

The record of 70° for the date was set in 1927 but today is only the 11th time in 145 years that November 29th reached 60° or warmer!

fall-facts

The average temperature for the fall 2016 is the 2nd warmest all-time once again trailing 1931.  This is the warmest in 85 years and still has a chance (very slim) to catch it.  Meteorological fall ends tomorrow, the last day of November. We use the months of September, October and November as the 'fall' months.

COLDER COMING

A massive storm system dominates the U.S. weather picture Tuesday afternoon, centered over the upper Midwest late day.  Colder air is pouring south from the system where snow is still falling over parts of North and South Dakota, Minnesota and as far south as Nebraska and Kansas.  The cool down will be in full swing here later Wednesday evening.

High temperatures will lower to the 50s Wednesday but remaining 10 degrees above normal.

wxin-default

A NEW MONTH BRINGS A CHILLY CHANGE

Grab the winter coats, scarfs and gloves we will need them starting Thursday, the first day of December.  A brisk wind will blow through the state with temperarue lowering into the 40s.  Temperatures will return to near normal conditions for the opening days of December with a possible chance of snow Sunday.

The long trusted Euro model holds the snow chance Sunday afternoon and evening but has pulled back in intensity compared to last nights runs.  We will continue to minor.

ecmwf_apcp_f126_us-6

What we are seeing are the possible footprints of the upcoming winter pattern.  Fast moving and often strong storm systems will create timing difficulties in medium range forecasts.  Big temperature swings are looking more and more likely entering the 'winter' months.  After Sunday's system, a new one has emerged Tuesday and Wednesday next week.  It looks like it could become rather busy here over the next several days/weeks.   We will keep you up to date on-air and on line.  Be sure to check back.

euro-168-tga