Rainfall Timing and Continued Warmth

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Central Indiana saw another mild afternoon for early January as temperatures climbed into the upper 40s.  This helped melt plenty of the snowfall once again.  As of this morning, the official snow depth at the National Weather Service office in Indianapolis was only 1″.  Here are some other area snow depth reports from this morning.  This numbers will continue to shrink and eventually disappear as the week continues.

Fairland: 4″
Elwood: 4″
Avon: 2″
Morristown: 2″
Plainfield: 2″
Brownsburg: 1.5″
Marion: 1.5″
Whitestown: 1.5″
Franklin: 1″

An area of low pressure will move into the Ohio Valley on Thursday.  We should be dry for the morning drive but rain will arrive shortly after that in our southern locations.  Basically after 9 AM and until noon, the rain will be moving in from the south and impacting those south of I-70.  Rain will then move into the rest of the viewing area throughout the remainder of the afternoon.  On and off showers will continue during the evening.

Jen_Surfacemap

Here’s a look at Fox Futurecast by the early afternoon hours on Thursday.  We are not expecting severe weather and just steady showers as this leading edge arrives. 

FOX_Futurecast

Temperatures will likely miss the 50 degree mark on Thursday due to all the clouds returning and on going showers.  This model pictured below is probably a little bit too cool, but highs in the mid 40s are possible for Thursday afternoon.

Meteogram Night

Rainfall chances will decrease Thursday night as we enter a dry slot, but it won’t last long. The cold front associated with this system will swing through Friday morning (between 3 AM and 9 AM) and produce heavy showers and even some storms.  Rainfall should exit our area well before the noon hour.  Once rain finally comes to a close, .60-1″ of rain will have fallen across our viewing area.

Rainfall_Forecast

Friday afternoon will be partly cloudy and warm.  Highs should increase to the 60 degree and this will leave us an impressive 25 degrees above normal for this time of year.  As warm as this sounds, it will not be record-breaking.  The record high for Friday is 70°F from 1890.  The warm and mostly dry weather will continue on Saturday.  There is still a small chance of rain but we should get through the majority of the day dry. Highs should climb to the low 60s.  But late Saturday night and into Sunday morning, another cold front will come through and this will put an end to our warm spell. 

Temperatures will be at their peak on Sunday at 12:01 AM and fall from there.  Rainfall will continue throughout the day and much colder air will start diving into the state.  Technically, our high will be 50°F from the start of the day but temperatures will actually be in the low 40s and upper 30s during Sunday afternoon.

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