Afternoon storms could turn severe.. the timing

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Central Indiana started the day with sunny skies and dry conditions.  But a cold front is headed our way and it will result in showers and thunderstorms for portions of our viewing area this afternoon.

jim surface

Dry for now…

The Storm Prediction Center includes about 1/3 of our viewing area in the “slight risk” of severe weather area today.  This is basically south of I-70 and does not include the metro.   The primary threat will be damaging winds.  With any storms, frequent lightning can and will form.

Severe Outlook

Storm Prediction Center issues “Slight Risk” for portions of the state

Here’s a break down from Fox Futurecast of storm development.  We’ll stay mainly dry through 2 PM with only isolated showers and storms possible.  Many of our northwestern locations will start dry all day with only passing clouds.  But if we did see any isolated storms early this afternoon, it would be north of I-70.  The front continues to march to the south as the afternoon progresses and it’s further to the south that we should see better storm development.  Several models are showing storm developing around 4 PM around or just south of I-70.  These storms would then travel to the  south and southeast as the cold front pushes in.  Due to more energy in the southern half of our viewing area, we’ll have to watch out for some severe storms.  Again, damaging winds is our main concern.

FOX_Futurecast

4 PM FOX Futurecast

By 7 PM, the majority of this storm activity should be pushing out of the state and leaving behind cooler and drier air.  Winds will be shifting back to the northwest by 4-5 PM for the metro and to the north.

Wind_Vectors_2

Afternoon wind shift

By 10 PM, temperatures will have already fallen into the 60s across much of the state and dew points will already be falling drastically.

FCST_Low_Temps

10 PM Temperatures

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