Rain moves out, cold arrives overnight and eye catching Long Ranger forecast

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RAIN MOVES OUT

Showers will diminish quickly Wednesday evening from west to east as a cold front passes.  Rainfall has been limited to around a quarter of an inch through 4 PM in the city, with .40″ in downstate Needmore and .25″ north in Frankfort.  One more burst of rain is expected along and ahead of the front then ending.  Winds shifted at Terre Haute and Lafayette around 4:30 PM Wednesday and the front is expected through the city by 7 PM.

Level 2

Radar and Cold front 4:45 PM Wednesday

TEMPS TUMBLE

The temperatures were warming during the overnight hours last night but a sharp chance arrives tonight.  After the “FROPA” (frontal passage) much colder air will pour into the state.  We are currently forecasting an early morning temperature Thursday of 34 degrees – off as much as 25 to 30 degrees from this morning.  Brace for the cold – the brisk northwest wind early Thursday will produce a wind chill in the middle 20s – it will feel 35 degrees colder to the skin than this morning.

FCST_Low_Temps

Low Temperatures Thursday Morning

DRY TIME

Rather quiet weather is expected through the weekend and into early next week.  A fast-moving “clipper” low pressure system will cut thought the upper Midwest Saturday bringing patchy clouds, a small chance of sprinkles early then windy conditions here Saturday.  After a couple of chilly days (Thursday and Friday will be hard pressed to reach 50 degrees in the afternoon) – look for a quick warm up on strong winds here Saturday.  Rainfall looks rather small through Monday evening – but increases as a cold front drops south early next week.

COLDEST OF SEASON – SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK?

In an abrupt change from earlier solutions the overnight computer runs have converged on a very chilly forecast for the middle of next week.  A long trusted computer model raised eyebrows when it forecast several inches of snow for parts of Indiana then backed off this afternoon.  While that is on the extreme end there is growing confidence on the cold solution as other long-term forecast models have also picked up on the cool off.  Only time will tell but later computer runs will firm up the forecast – we will have it here first – so stay tuned.

Euro 500 mb Fcst Weds Nov 13th

Could snow fall here next week? This Long Range computer says yes – for now