LIGHT SNOW OVERNIGHT
A band of snow will streak across the state during the overnight hours and possibly lead to a few slick spots for the Tuesday morning commute. Moisture is limited but these “clipper” lows can often put down a narrow band of accumulation snow. We are forecasting under 1” of snow in a narrow band from northwest tot southeast. Be careful early Tuesday morning.
AS FORECAST: COLD PATTERN IS BACK – AND STICKING AROUND
A real winter chill is back and locks in for possibly a few weeks! We have been forecasting this return for quite some time and after the 5 day thaw, a new surge of arctic air is going to keep temperatures well below normal over the next 2.5 weeks.
Frigid cold air will blast in behind a passing cold front late Tuesday night sending early morning temperatures Wednesday well into the single digits if now below zero – coldest in a week and a half. Dangerous wind chill temperatures are possible early Wednesday of -5° to -15° or colder. Wind chill advisories may be required for Wednesday morning – be sure to check in again Tuesday.
The average high temperature from normal is forecast to run as much as 20 to 30 degrees below normal. The normal high temperature from February 25th through March 12th will climb from 44° to 49°. However, the jet stream has returned to its dominate set-up all winter long. The brief thaw has temporarily dropped this winter back to the 10th coldest on record – but resurgent cold will have a say as to where this winter will rank as we close the book on meteorological winter (December/January and February)
WINTER STORMS ON THE HORIZON?
The snow season stands at 52.1″ (3rd snowiest snow season on record) and only trails #1 1982 58.2″ by 6.1″. Medium range forecast models suggest we could break the record over the next week with 2 more organized snow makers potentially – Friday and a stronger storm Sunday. At this distance the Sunday system is loaded with moisture (average of about 1”) and IF it falls as all snow it will be quite sizable – however the plot thickens with hints of a warmer layer of air overrunning the cold and setting the stage for a change to freezing rain. Stay tuned – this complicated winter storm will become better analyzed throughout the week. Be sure to check back!