Warmest of 2014 coming, followed by rain and new cold blast

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WEDNESDAY WARM UP

Wednesday afternoon turned mild and cracked the 60° mark for the first time in nearly 1 week.  The official high of 61° marked only the 9th time above 60 this year – fewest to date since 1993!  Since March 1st, the start of meteorological spring, 67% of the days have been below normal.

Madis_Temps

4 PM temperatures Wednesday

WAITING ON 70°

The wait is over, 70° temperatures are expected to officially occur here Thursday – the longest wait for the first 70° day in 30 years.  On average the first 70 arrives March 18th – the latest April 25, 1984.  The number of days from our last 70° reached 178 days (October 13th at 71°) Wednesday – ties for the 6th longest on record, and longest in 56 years!

Winter Temps

6th longest gap on record between 70 degree days

2 CHANCES AT 70°

Looking ahead, this will be the  warmest weekend of the year and warmest weekend since mid-October!  The high temperature Saturday will surge again into the middle and upper 60s with Sunday potentially reaching the middle 70s!  This will be the warmest Saturday and Sunday since October 12 and 13 when the highs were 77° and 71°.

EURO Sunday Temps

Sunday afternoon forecast high temperatures warmest of 2014

NOW THE RAIN CHANCES

First 9 days of April are the wettest in 57 years with 3.43″ so far. Showers will return Thursday evening and the 7 day rainfall numbers are averaging 1″ for the city. Rainfall coverage peaks Monday with a spring storm and approaching cold front. We feel there will be plenty of dry time over the weekend to get out and enjoy.

Rain Chance

Rain “chance” through Tuesday peaks on Monday

 

SEVERE WEATHER SEASON STILL QUIET

Tornado production so far this spring is down – only 31%. The normal tornado reports through April 9th (93).  A byproduct of the cool spring temperatures.

 

NEW COLD SURGE

The signals off the overnight computer runs are strong for a new surge of colder air coming early next week.  The cold front that passes early Monday will bring a sharp temperature drop and possibly change from rain to snow before ending.  Some solutions put heavy, wet snow into northwest Indiana and northern Indiana – a trend that will be monitored.  The 8 to 14 day temperature outlook is overall a cold one with the average high temperature off the normal by 10 to 12 degrees through April 25.

Jet Stream

late season cold blast early next week