(Sept. 5, 2014) - There will be a chance for severe weather this afternoon and evening as an extensive cold front pushes through the state. Large hail is the main concern followed by straight line winds. The expected environment and set-up forecast is one that is not supportive of tornado development. The National Storm Prediction Center puts the chance of a tornado in the state at less than 2 percent.
We woke up to humid and stuffy conditions across the state with dew points continuing to rise throughout the day. Winds out of the south southwest will continue to pull moisture in throughout the morning hours and early afternoon hours. Storms may begin to fire as soon as about 3 p.m. for northern parts of the state.
While it appears that our instability will be high enough for some to see strong storms, for those just north of the slow moving front heavy rain will be the main concern. In fact I think this set-up is more conducive to heavy rain than strong storms. Both will be possible. We could potentially see one or two places seeing upwards of three inches of rain! Residents should stay storm aware throughout the day and monitor what could be a rapidly changing situation throughout the day and overnight.
We are going to go from storms and heat to fall like weather. Highs today will be near 90 degrees but highs on Saturday will struggle to hit the mid-70s. In fact I am forecasting the warmest temperatures of the day hitting at midnight on Saturday morning with us just hitting the low 70s for afternoon highs.
Saturday morning will see light rain and drizzle at least being possible as front continues to slide to our south. It won’t be in any rush. I think the sun comes out Saturday afternoon and while the weather will be cool it will feel great! The weather should be perfect for opening up some windows and letting the house air out.