Sunshine on Tuesday before severe storms return to central Indiana
We’ll continue to see mostly clear conditions this evening and into the overnight hours. Temperatures will drop back into the mid to low 50s tonight for a cool and refreshing feeling outside. This does leave us a bit below normal for this time of year as overnight temperatures typically come in around 59°F.
Skies will be mostly clear again on Tuesday and temperatures will be a bit warmer in the low 80s. Winds will turn more to the south on Tuesday and this will help to not only raise our temperatures a few more degrees, it will also help to bring in more moisture. Dew points will climb into the 60s on Tuesday afternoon, making it feel a bit more muggy outside. But the day will be dry and rain will still be out to the west.
Storms return Wednesday and these storms have the potential to be severe. The Storm Prediction Center has us included in a slight risk for severe storms that day with damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes and heavy rainfall being of concern. We could see rainfall amounts exceeding 1” total through Wednesday night with these storms. There is a bit of uncertainty as to the exact timing of storms on Wednesday and that will be fine tuned with new model runs that come in overnight and again on Tuesday. With today’s model runs, the RPM is showing a preliminary round of storms coming in Wednesday morning and continuing through lunch time, bringing in the risk of some stronger or severe storms. But then the cold front will have to pass later that afternoon and evening and that could initiate more storms across our area.
What is certain about this round of storms is that colder air will return for the close of the work week and into the coming weekend. Temperatures are going to drop into the 40s for our overnight temperatures starting Saturday morning and continuing through Monday morning. This blast of cooler air will also result in well below normal high temperatures in the mid to upper 60s from Friday through Monday. This will be a true fall-like blast since temperatures this time of year should be around 80°F. An average daily high of 65°F is typically seen in mid October.