An isolated storm still possible today, but worst weather has now passed

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(Oct. 14, 2014) – While the worst weather is likely behind us, we can’t officially call an end to our severe weather risk until a cold front tracking to our west moves through later this morning.  The front should pass through the state before noon, and likely won’t have enough time to build ahead of the front for any serious storms. 

Rain will continue and we should still expect a storm or two first thing this morning until the front passes through.  The best chance for any thunderstorms will be to our southeast.  This is where instability should be the greatest.  I also think we could see some quick bursts of sunshine down south as we start the day and this could help with any storm development.  At this point any more severe weather would be isolated and not widespread.

The next 24

Meteogram tomorrow

An upper low is tracking to our west this morning and is located in western Illinois to eastern Missouri.  The cold front is located near St. Louis this morning at 3 a.m.  I have the cold front approaching and passing through Indianapolis at around 10 a.m.  It should be clearing the state with storms intensifying to our east (Ohio) by noon.

Our daily high temperature will be reached by midday with us cooling behind the cold front this afternoon.  The cold front will not be an end to our rain chance (just merely the official end of our storm chances) due to the upper low camping out for the next couple of days on top of the state.  Skies will remain cloudy with light rain/drizzle possible.  Highs should near 70 degrees ahead of the front with highs in the mid to low 60s this afternoon behind the front.

The rest of the week

Small Regional Radar

We will remain cloudy through Thursday with seasonal highs near 60 degrees.  The sun returns on Friday with highs approaching 70.  Cooler air filters in for what appears to be a pleasant weekend setting up.  Highs on Saturday and Sunday will be in the 60s.