Winter stages comeback after a ‘mild’ weekend; snow, wind and arctic air coming next week

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WIND SHIFT FRIDAY EVENING

Happy Friday! Get ready for a milder weekend but not quite as warm as last weekend. We've got major changes in the works starting Monday

Clouds are increasing late Friday and where clouds have thickened temperatures are cool. A wind shifting, cold front has slipped into the state from the north. Temperatures range from low 30s to mid 40s from northwest to southeast.  We reached 41° in Indianapolis just a touch above the normal 37°

COLDEST START IN NEARLY 2 WEEKS

Added clouds will keep the temperatures from bottoming out tonight. middle 20s in the coldest spots. Early Friday we went as cold as 17° at Eagle Creek, 18° Zionsville, 19 °Kokomo. The low of 20° in Indianapolis is the coldest in early 2 weeks.

MILDER WEEKEND

The mild pattern gets back on track for Saturday and Sunday. The weekend high temperatures should reach the middle 40s and even near 50° Sunday. Rain chance s are slim, sprinkles could show up Saturday evening but the best chance of showers will arrive ahead of a cold front late Sunday evening.

COLD PATTERN CHANGE LOOMS

Winter stages a big comeback starting Monday as arctic air is uncorked over the eastern half of the country.   The 10th warmest winter on record to date is about to take a hit.  This will not be a brief visit - thinking is it will likely to hold the colder than normal pattern well into Valentine's Day weekend.

Warmer air will surge north along the west coast starting Sunday - great weather for Super Bowl 50, but buckling the jet stream and dislodging cold air and dumping it into the eastern half of the nation.

ridge out west a trough in the east. Warm air buckles jet stream and sends arctic air into eastern US

A 'ridge' out west and 'trough' in the east. Warm air buckles jet stream and sends arctic air into the eastern US

 

Cold Anamoly

Average high temperatures could run 15 to 20 degrees below normal starting next week

BARELY HALF THE SEASON SNOWFALL TO DATE - STICKING SNOWS ARE LIKELY

 

Snow will accompany the cold starting as early as Monday morning. At this distance it could be a slippery Monday AM commute. Snow shower will from time to time bring quick coatings of snow through the day Monday and again Tuesday and the cold tightens its grip. It is way to early to get specific totals because of the scattered, showery nature of the snow but a couple of inches are possible spread out over a couple of days early next week.

Weather map Monday morning 7 AM. Strong winds develops as colder air surges into the state.

Weather map Monday morning 7 AM. Strong winds develops as colder air surges into the state.

With a cold pattern established there are continued hints of more formidable systems down the road entering next weekend and especially around the 15th and 16th. I'm posting the forecast from the overnight computer run off the Euro model at day 10 below. It's an eyebrow raiser, suggesting that we will have stronger systems to tangle with in the new cold pattern. Still to early to say where rain and snow will align but the take away is that the plot will thicken in what has been a rather lack-luster winter. Stay tuned and enjoy the 'mild' weekend. Could be the warmest weather for a little while.

Where there is smoke, there is fire. More formidable storms in the works? Stay tuned

Where there is smoke, there is fire. More formidable storms in the works? Stay tuned