INDIANAPOLIS, Ind. (March 14, 2016)--Good Monday afternoon. Showers continue across central Indiana as we approach 2 p.m. A t-storm cannot be ruled out through the remainder of this evening. Indianapolis has seen 0.45 inches of rain since it began early on the 13th.
Tonight, look for showers to wind down as we go toward 8 p.m. We'll have a cloudy sky with areas of fog developing and lows down to near 50 degrees. Winds will shift from the west to the southeast by Tuesday morning at 3-7 mph.
Tuesday morning will bring a cloudy sky with fog but sunshine will peek out through the day. Temperatures will rise to the low to mid-70s ahead of a strong, low-pressure system and breezy south winds. The record-high temperature for the day is 80 degrees from 2012.
As an upper low moves into the Upper Midwest Tuesday, thunderstorms will likely develop across Illinois during the afternoon. There's a chance that we see some across far western or northwestern Indiana in the late afternoon as well. However, the greatest chance of t-storms will be Tuesday night for central Indiana as a line of storms looks to move through the area. Severe weather parameters indicate the main threat to be damaging winds greater than 60 mph with t-storms. However, there's enough shear involved that a spin-up along the line of storms cannot be ruled out. Heavy rain will accompany the strongest storms. It's uncertain exactly how the coverage will play out with differences in model data but be weather aware, especially after sunset.
The Storm Prediction Center has central Indiana in a slight risk for severe weather on Tuesday.
Winds outside of any t-storms will also be rather gusty with sustained winds as high as 20 mph with higher gusts. A cold front will push through the area Tuesday night and bring rain chances to an end. Cooler weather will arrive by Wednesday morning with lows in the upper 40s. Highs Wednesday will be in the low 60s with a mostly sunny sky. It will also be windy with sustained winds 15-25 mph with higher gusts.
St. Patrick's Day will bring highs near 60 degrees with a slight chance of rain under a partly cloudy sky. Should be a decent day for the parades and festivities.
Spring officially arrives Sunday, March 20 at 12:30 a.m. EDT. It will definitely be colder by the weekend with lows down near freezing. --Danielle Dozier