Showers overnight; Great start to the holiday weekend but storms will return

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73% of the days so far this summer have averaged above normal.  The recent cool off comes after 18 consecutive days above normal.  June, the first month of meteorological summer will end among the warmest 15% on record.  The average tempera rue of 74.7° ranks tied for 22nd all-time.   8 days have reached 90 degrees already this season.

SUMMER temperatures


The latest 30 day temperature outlook form the National Weather Service calls for an above average chance of temperatures to be above normal.  There were equal chances of above or below normal rainfall for July.

NWS forecast monthly temperature probability

NWS forecast monthly temperature probability


Clouds have arrived but the rain will likely hold off until late tonight.  The clouds will thicken and showers are likely to arrive mainly after midnight and reach their peak from 3 to 6 am Friday morning.  There could be a embedded rumble of thunder too.

Showers along with a few downpours overnight. forecast radar 5 AM Friday

Showers along with a few downpours overnight. forecast radar 5 AM Friday

Rainfall amounts will vary widely and most of us will not see significant totals.   The average off 7 machines puts .19" of rain down for Indianapolis with a range  from .00" to .22".  The RPM model posted below directs and favors more downpours to our north.

RPM 4km Precip Accum. WX BELL color


Clouds will quickly give way to sunshine on Friday as northwest winds freshen and drive down the humidity levels once again.  After the early morning rain showers Friday will turn out to be a great day.  Temperature once again will dip well into the 50s by early Saturday morning.

Saturday starts with sunshine and may look much like today with clouds arriving later in the day.  The threat for showers and storms will return starting late Saturday night into Sunday morning.  Off the three days this long holiday weekend, Sunday looks to have the best chance of rain and to remain rather cloudy and cool.  While no all-day train is expected, Sunday could open with rain and t-storms then a break develops before evening showers and t-storm return.  Current thinking is that storms roam the area in bunches overnight Sunday into Monday and then diminish from west to east Monday afternoon.

We are encouraged that there will be dry hours for fireworks Sunday evening/night and feel that even better weather will shape up for Monday evening firework displays.  We will continue to monitor and be sure to check back for updates on timing, location and rainfall amounts!

JULY 4TH 3 Day Part

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