Cool air quiets pattern for now, rain returns later this week

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Early morning low temperatures were more like early April than June Monday morning.  The official low hit 48° in the city, the normal for May 1. Parts of northern Indiana fell into the 30’s, though.  South Bend and La Porte dipped to 39° while Michigan City fell to 36°.

The chilly 40’s in June are not that infrequent. In fact, there was one night in the 40’s last June.  A scan of weather records over the past 17 years shows six Junes have produced at least one 40° night but multiple nights in 40’s? Now that is a little more rare.  The forecast overnight will once again bring a low just under 50° making this only the 3rd June to have a multi-night low in the 40’s since 1996.

June 2003 had four nights with a record low of 39° on the June 2. June 2000 had two nights in the 40’s: June 6 and June 7.

Monday morning


Two-week temperature forecasts suggest we may save a few bucks on the air conditioning. The latest 8-14 day outlook from the NWS shows a high likelihood of colder than normal temps over the eastern half of the nation.

The upper air flow will be dominated by a northwest to southeast wind flow.  This “northwest” flow will typically keep summer hot domes from expanding north and east while tapping cooler air from Canada as fast-moving systems ride the winds.

Here is the break out over the next 2.5 weeks:

DAYS 1-5: -5°

DAYS 6-10: -9°

DAYS 11-16: -8°

8 to 14 Day
8-14 Day Temp


Severe weather, while not completely absent today, has been fairly tame.  Through 5 p.m., there have been no severe weather reports – the first time in three weeks with a day lacking severe reports.  The last time there were fewer than 10 severe weather reports came May 12 with a total of two.


The wet weather holds off for now but rain chances will return by mid-week.  Showers are expected to return with a chance of storms by Wednesday.  Showers are possible through Friday and expected again Sunday and Monday.  Seven-Day rainfall numbers are low only averaging  .39″ and the 2.5 week rainfall forecast continues that trend at only 1.23″ forecast ONLY 54 percent the normal.

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