Weekend forecast continues to call for dry conditions…

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(July 18, 2014) The weekend forecast continues to call for dry conditions for both Saturday and Sunday.  There are some concerns as a mid-level low will be tracking to our south and eventually to our east.  Central Ohio will likely see a few showers for their weekend.  We  continue to analyze ever model run but they have been consistently dry for us. The NAM and GFS this morning show just a hundredth of an inch of rain falling late Saturday.  Other data coming in appears to show a better chance for rain (still low) for places in Eastern Indiana.  At this point it looks like almost everyone will be dry over the weekend.  The track of the low has been consistently moving away from the state so we will keep it dry. Temperatures will also continue their slow rise as we head into the weekend.  Yesterday we hit 77 degrees.  This was still on the low side of model data coming in and I think our temperatures heading into the weekend will continue to trend a little cooler than model numbers are indicating.  Highs today will be near 80 degrees with low to mid-80s possible this weekend.  We could finally top the average high for this time of the year (something we haven’t done since the first of the month) on Monday.  Model data continues to show a ridge building in, bringing us our first 90s of the year on Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.  It will be possible, but don’t forget model output has been running a good 3–5 degrees too warm over the past month daily.  Taking this into account we are forecasting highs in the middle 80s for now for Monday through Wednesday.

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